Welcome to Super Bowl week!As a fan, I'm pumped about watching this game between the and the in Las Vegas.When it comes to how I bet on the Big Game, I wager on the Super Bowl in two simple ways.The first spot I like to wager is on quarterbacks if I feel theres a big gap in talent. That's the case in this Super Bowl. That doesnt mean hasnt played well in this Niners offense. He has. But when it comes down to making plays in the biggest moments of Super Bowl LVIII, Im taking .ADVERTISEMENT So I have the Chiefs' moneyline. It was the first wager I made after the 49ers beat the Lions.The second way I wager on the game is the prop market. However, I keep it simple. I just wager on props based on how I believe the game will play out. If it doesnt go that way, Im probably out of luck.Big note: I end up being on the right side more often than not.So, here goes.Fade or follow. Good luck!Rashee Rice Over/Under Receptions 6.5, Over/Under 66.5 Receiving YardsThe 49ers defense is static on nearly 80% of its snaps. It lines up, doesn't move and just plays ball.Thats not a winning formula for playing well against Kansas City's offense, even if the Chiefs' receiving group isnt elite.Mahomes is going to find holes in the 49ers zone defense. Weve seen this season and more specifically against the that hes got no i sue getting rid of the ball quickly to gain yards.Rookie wide receiver Rashee Rice turned into a legitimate target for Mahomes in the final weeks of the regular season and into the playoffs. His 20 receptions, 223 yards and one touchdown in the postseason are more than the rest of the Chiefs receivers combined.Rice has the second most yards after reception in the NFL this season, averaging 8.4 per reception.I think Rice is the main target for Mahomes against the 49ers' zone.PICK: Rashee Rice Over 6.5 receptionsPICK: Rashee Rice Over 66.5 receiving yards.Travis Kelce MVP, Taylor Swift Super Bowl LVIII props and best bets Isiah Pacheco Longest Rush Over/Under 15.5 yardsThe 49ers have a poor run defense. They are ranked 26th in expected points added for their rushing defense, and in the last five games in which their starters have played, they've been gashed.San Fran has allowed six running backs in their last five games to have at least one 16-yard rush.Id love to wager on Pachecos overall rushing props, but I never expect Andy Reid to have a game plan where the Chiefs rush the ball a bunch. So Im opting for Pacheco to have a long gain in this game.Worth mentioning is that Pacheco leads the NFL in rushing yards over the last two postseasons.PICK: Pacheco longest rush Over Malik Cunningham Jersey 15.5 yardsChris Jones Over/Under .25 sacksThe Chiefs' All-Pro pa s rusher Chris Jones has played in three Super Bowls. Jones has zero sacks and zero hits in those three games, while racking up only six pre sures. Hes due for a stat-sheet production game in the Super Bowl and this 49ers offensive line is perfect for that.The 49ers roster goes like this: Future Hall of Famer at left tackle, decent players at left guard and center, hold on for dear life at right guard and right tackle.Chris Jones has major advantages in those matchups, and this is the game where he finally gets home.PICK: Chris Jones (+130) Over .25 SacksPatrick Mahomes, Rashee Rice and more Chiefs player props, bets for Super Bowl LVIII Brandon Aiyuk Over/Under 4.5 Receptions, Over/Under 61.5 Receiving YardsThe Chiefs have an outstanding pa s defense. They limit explosive plays and take away the first option for most pa sing offenses. The Chiefs pa sing defense was third in the league in limiting explosive pa s plays, and against its last two opponents, it allowed a single one with a rare blown coverage.Im taking the Under for wide receiver Brandon Aiyuks receptions and yards for this game.Aiyuk feels like the forgotten man in the 49ers offense, but he had 75 catches for 1,342 yards this season. Hes a legit No. 1 receiver and the Chiefs will have their best guy, , on him the entire game.Sneed just doesnt allow the player hes mirroring to catch the football. Hes first in the NFL in that category, allowing only 49% of pa ses in his direction to be caught., , and more have seen production dip when playing the Chiefs.I believe Aiyuk will struggle to see production on Sunday.PICK: Brandon Aiyuk Under 4.5 receptionsPICK: Brandon Aiyuk Uunder 61.5 receiving yardsDeebo Samuel Over/Under 4.5 Receptions, Over/Under 58.5 Receiving YardsIf Aiyuk is going to be held in check, then the 49ers must turn to someone else for receiving production.That someone else is Deebo Samuel.Deebo looks healthy and ready to have a monster game against the Chiefs. While the Chiefs defense does tackle well, Samuel leads the NFL in yards after reception.The Chiefs pa s defense does have some i sues defending the play action pa s, and considering how the 49ers use Deebo over the middle or through the middle of the field on play action pa s, theres an opportunity for him to make big plays.PICK: Deebo Samuel Over 4.5 receptionsPICK: Deebo Samuel Over 58.5 receiving yardsThe problem with Patrick Mahomes playing 'The Villain' Kyle Juszczyk Over/Under 3.5 Receiving YardsThe Chiefs defense is going to focus on stopping the Niners' potent run game and stopping Purdys ability to generate big pa sing plays. This is what it focused on against the Bills and Ravens this postseason, and the trend will be the same this Sunday.When the Bills and Ravens have thrown the ball, theyve been finding their underneath checkdown routes. With that in mind, Im making a wager on 49ers fullback Kyle Juszczyk to have over 3.5 receiving yards.Juice is le s fullback and more an H-back or U tight end meaning hes part of the pa sing game and will align in different formational spots. That makes him more of a pa sing option against the Chiefs, and history has shown the 49ers have targeted him against K.C.In Super Bowl 54, Juice had three targets and three catches for 39 yards. In the 49ers 2022 matchup, he had four targets, three catches and 34 yards.PICK: Kyle Juszczyk Over 3.5 receiving yardsGeoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports. He played eight seasons in the NFL for five different teams. He started at right tackle for the University of Oregon for three seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 selection his senior year. Follow him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz   Marcus Williams Jersey
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